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Are You Ready for the Deep Dive? 🔍
Decoding the Bollinger Bands
Hey Guys and Gals,
Yesterday, I gave you a brief introduction to Bollinger Bands, an essential tool for options traders like us.
Bollinger Bands are a beautiful, graphic representation of the kind of statistics you need to understand as an options trader. The data is in real time and actionable.
Now, let's delve deeper into the mechanics:
In the bell curve above, the dotted line running through its center represents the current market price of a stock. Flanking this central line are two yellow lines that depict the first standard deviation. This is the zone where, statistically, 68% of all potential future prices are projected to reside, and it's this principle that forms the cornerstone of my options trading methodology.
These two lines, as subtle as they appear, are teeming with insights. I’ll show you here on the chart from yesterday:
Notice in the first half of the chart, the bands are close together, in a contraction. This occurs when the market is calm, and pricing is bound into a tight trading pattern. On the contrary, on the other half of the chart, the bands are wider, indicating that price action becomes volatile.
What’s important to note is that periods of contraction are always followed by periods of expansion and periods of expansion are followed by periods of contraction. This regression to the mean is something we can always count on.
So how can we apply these insights for sharper trading decisions? Stay tuned. I touch on that tomorrow.
But, if you really can’t wait and want to tap into comprehensive options training reserved for my premium subscribers, don't hesitate to find out more here.
Thanks for reading and here’s to your success,
P.S. If you feel you might have a credit or just have a general question, please give Jeff Brown a call at 443-870-4406 or you can email him at [email protected].
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