These types of stocks are 🔥 during rate cuts

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Good morning traders,

When the Federal Reserve (or other central banks) cuts interest rates, the goal is to stimulate economic growth by making borrowing cheaper. Historically, certain sectors and types of stocks benefit more than others because they either thrive on lower borrowing costs or gain from increased consumer/business spending.

Here are the groups that tend to do best during rate-cut cycles:

 1. Growth & Tech Stocks

  • Why: Lower rates reduce the discount rate on future cash flows, which makes high-growth companies (like tech) more valuable.

  • Examples: Software, semiconductors, cloud, AI, and internet companies.

  • Past trend: After rate cuts in 2019, tech led the S&P 500 rally.

 2. Financials (but selectively)

  • Banks: Mixed impact. Rate cuts compress net interest margins (bad), but if cuts prevent a recession, banks benefit from loan growth (good).

  • Asset managers / brokers: Tend to benefit as cuts boost equity markets and trading volumes.

 3. Real Estate (REITs & Housing)

  • Why: Lower mortgage rates fuel housing demand and make dividend yields from REITs more attractive compared to bonds.

  • Winners: Homebuilders (LEN, DHI, TOL), REITs (O, SPG, PLD).

4. Consumer Discretionary

  • Why: Cheaper borrowing means more spending on cars, travel, and retail.

  • Examples: Autos (TSLA, GM), retail (AMZN, HD), leisure & travel (BKNG, MAR).

 5. Commodities & Industrials (if cuts stimulate growth)

  • Why: Cuts usually aim to prevent slowdown or boost demand, lifting cyclical sectors.

  • Industrials: CAT, DE, HON.

  • Energy: XOM, SLB if global demand outlook improves.

6. Small-Cap Stocks

  • Why: They’re more sensitive to borrowing costs and economic cycles. Rate cuts often spark rallies in the Russell 2000.

Rule of Thumb:

  • If rate cuts happen because of slowing growth, defensive sectors (utilities, healthcare, staples) may hold up better.

  • If cuts happen to engineer a soft landing, growth/cyclical sectors (tech, consumer discretionary, industrials) usually outperform.

Those are a few things I am watching, what’s on your radar?

Jeff Williams

P.S. Make sure you join us for a packed day of LIVE action in the Market Masters room:

11am ET: VWAP Trading w/Kenny Glick
12pm ET: Training w/Taiku
12pm ET: Quad Witching w/Jeff Williams




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