Why I love MARA trade today

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July 30, 2025

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$10k Challenge w/Jeff Williams

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Good morning all and happy Wednesday. Today will be PACKED with big data from the Fed to big tech earnings, so be on watch for big market moves.

One stock I love today is MARA and it’s based on their recent huge win on earnings, here is a breakdown.

Q2 2025 Key Financial Results

  • Revenue: $238 million — up 64% year-over-year, significantly exceeding Wall Street estimates of around $228–$228.9 million.

  • Net Income: $808 million — a massive beat, especially compared to estimates near breakeven or a modest loss; translates to a large per-share gain rather than the expected modest EPS around $0.11

  • Bitcoin Holdings: ~49,950 BTC (up ~170% YoY), now valued near $6 billion (at current BTC price)

  • Mining Metrics: 2,358 BTC mined (~3% QoQ increase), energized hash rate at 57.4 EH/s (up ~6% QoQ), with a target of reaching 75 EH/s by year-end

Performance vs. Expectations

The results represented a dramatic upside surprise across the board:

  • Revenue beat analyst estimates by roughly $10 million.

  • EPS swung from expected slight loss to strong net income.

Management highlighted how they "transformed post-halving economics into net income growth by over 500%" and emphasized cost discipline and scaling efforts 

Strategic Highlights & Operational Context

  • Revenue surge was largely driven by a ~50% increase in average Bitcoin price during the quarter 

  • Hash rate efficiency improvements and expanded energy partnerships across the U.S., Paraguay, and UAE helped drive margins and output efficiency

  • Bitcoin HODL strategy and treasury holdings reinforce long-term value retention.

Market Reaction

Despite the strong results, Marathon's shares dipped slightly just before close but then rose ~4% in after-hours trading, reflecting solid investor confidence in its operational execution.

I’ll be watching to see if MARA can reclaim it’s spot near $20 dollars as the week goes on but it will need some help from Bitcoin pricing which has been fairly stable this week. If Bitcoin can push past $120k again then I think MARA has a legitimate shot at $20 per share area.

What’s on your radar today?

Will Bitcoin go up or down today?

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P.S. Wednesday’s FREE TRADING lineup (Eastern Time):

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